Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.72	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2.15
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.87)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
53.5%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mattia Bellucci - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 86., and Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 31..

Bellucci has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Etcheverry is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Etcheverry could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Bellucci in today's match, at odds of 1.91.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bellucci has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Luka Pavlovic - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Elias Ymer - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Alex Michelsen - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Mariano Navone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
09.05.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Mattia Bellucci	1:2

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