Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Luka Pavlovic		Mattia Bellucci

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Luka Pavlovic
24%

Mattia Bellucci
76%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 207., and Bellucci is ranked ATP: 86..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Bellucci could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Bellucci is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Luka Pavlovic - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Luka Pavlovic - Kangyuan Shi	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Luka Pavlovic - Thomas John Fancutt	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Luka Pavlovic - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Elias Ymer - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
17.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Shintaro Mochizuki	✺

Luka Pavlovic - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide