Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Mattia Bellucci		Martin Landaluce

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.91	2.03
	1.81	2	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.82	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
52%

Martin Landaluce
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Martin Landaluce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Mattia Bellucci - Martin Landaluce Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Landaluce will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 80. Landaluce is ranked ATP: 94.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bellucci won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.85%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Mattia Bellucci - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWL
- Martin Landaluce
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Marin Cilic - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Martin Landaluce - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Martin Landaluce - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Daniel Jade - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Mattia Bellucci - Martin Landaluce	1:2
30.12.24	Martin Landaluce - Mattia Bellucci	2:0
20.10.24	Martin Landaluce - Mattia Bellucci	2:0

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