Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jinan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Elias Ymer		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.80	1.22
	3.85	1.22	Watch
	3.62	1.24	Watch
	4.15	1.24
	3.57	1.25	Watch
	3.85	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (5.26)	1.23 ↑ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
24.3%

Mattia Bellucci
75.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.7%

82.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elias Ymer's performance.

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mattia Bellucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Elias Ymer - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Ymer (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 192., and Bellucci is ranked ATP: 86..

Recent results have been tough for Ymer (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Bellucci have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ymer could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Bellucci as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ymer has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Elias Ymer - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Elias Ymer - Terence Atmane	Atmane T. Retired ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.26	Elias Ymer - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Elias Ymer - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LL?LL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Yanki Erel - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	2:1
ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	2:0
05.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	✺

Elias Ymer - Mattia Bellucci