What is the expert prediction for Maxim Mrva vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Maxim Mrva vs Carlo Alberto Caniato. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Maxim Mrva vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, July 14, 2026)

Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Maxim Mrva		Carlo Alberto Caniato

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.65	2.1
	1.75	2.17
	1.7	2.02	Watch
	1.43	2.8	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
57%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Carlo Alberto Caniato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxim Mrva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlo Alberto Caniato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 295. Caniato is ranked ATP: 380.

Mrva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caniato is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Caniato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

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Last Results with these Odds

Carlo Alberto Caniato - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Maxim Mrva	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Gustavo Heide - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Federico Bondioli - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

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