Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sarreguemines, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday


	Maximilian Marterer		Thijs Boogaard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.58	2.23
	1.47	2.42	Watch
	1.55	2.40
	1.53	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	2.33 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Marterer
60.3%

Thijs Boogaard
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Marterer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Thijs Boogaard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maximilian Marterer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thijs Boogaard than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thijs Boogaard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maximilian Marterer - Thijs Boogaard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Marterer
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Arthur Bouquier - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Maximilian Marterer - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Maximilian Marterer - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Pavel Lagutin - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Maximilian Marterer - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WW?LW
- Thijs Boogaard
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Adan Freire Da Silva - Thijs Boogaard	0:2 ✺
21.10.26	Thijs Boogaard - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Henry Bernet - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Timeo Trufelli - Thijs Boogaard	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Philip Henning - Thijs Boogaard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWL

Maximilian Marterer - Thijs Boogaard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Maximilian Marterer - Thijs Boogaard Predictions

Form

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