Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Thiago Monteiro		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.82	2.04
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.8	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	1.95 ↑ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
51.6%

Dusan Lajovic
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Monteiro's performance.

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dusan Lajovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thiago Monteiro will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 209. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 123.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monteiro won 4.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Monteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monteiro won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.26	Hugo Dellien - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Franco Agamenone - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Facundo Mena - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Thiago Monteiro - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Hugo Dellien - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Facundo Mena - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro	0:2
ATP Vienna
22.10.22	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro	0:2
ATP Challenger
08.07.22	Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.19	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro	3:0
ATP Bastad
18.07.17	Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic	Lajovic D. retired
ATP Los Cabos
09.08.16	Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro	2:0

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