Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Mona Barthel		Noemi Basiletti

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.58	2.23
	1.6	2.22	Watch
	1.64	2.2
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	2.21 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
57.9%

Noemi Basiletti
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Noemi Basiletti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noemi Basiletti than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mona Barthel - Noemi Basiletti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 217., and Basiletti is ranked WTA: 277..

In recent outings, Barthel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Basiletti is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Barthel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Mona Barthel - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Francesca Jones - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Mona Barthel - Radka Zelnickova	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Fiona Ferro - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.26	Francesca Jones - Mona Barthel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLL
- Noemi Basiletti
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Noemi Basiletti - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Noemi Basiletti - Julie Struplova	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Lola Radivojevic - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.26	Barbora Palicova - Noemi Basiletti	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Loes Ebeling Koning - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

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