Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana, clay - Final

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Mona Barthel		Samira De Stefano

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.20
	1.62	2.17
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.19
	1.64	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.05)	2.18 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
57.1%

Samira De Stefano
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mona Barthel's performance.

Samira De Stefano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samira De Stefano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mona Barthel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samira De Stefano than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samira De Stefano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mona Barthel - Samira De Stefano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barthel will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). De Stefano will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barthel (votes: 1 - 50%). De Stefano (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - De Stefano (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barthel (votes: 1 - 33.3%). De Stefano (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 217., and De Stefano is ranked WTA: 257..

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Mona Barthel - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Mona Barthel - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Francesca Jones - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Mona Barthel - Radka Zelnickova	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Fiona Ferro - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL
- Samira De Stefano
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Samira De Stefano - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Samira De Stefano - Alice Tubello	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Barbora Palicova - Samira De Stefano	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Arantxa Rus - Samira De Stefano	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Samira De Stefano - Eva Vedder	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL

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