Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Nicolas Jarry		Nerman Fatic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.37	3.35
	1.34	2.97	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)	3.12 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
70%

Nerman Fatic
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nicolas Jarry - Nerman Fatic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fatic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jarry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 156. Fatic is ranked ATP: 249.

Jarry has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fatic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fatic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jarry is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Miguel Damas	Damas M. Retired ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Nicolas Jarry - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Nicolas Jarry - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W?LLL
- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL

Nicolas Jarry - Nerman Fatic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide