Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Mats Rosenkranz

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.59	2.38
	1.60	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
59%

Mats Rosenkranz
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Mats Rosenkranz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Nicolas Mejia - Mats Rosenkranz Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rosenkranz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 199. Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 314.

Mejia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rosenkranz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rosenkranz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mejia might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Tyler Zink - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Lukas Klein - Nicolas Mejia	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWL?
- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Cooper Williams	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Hamish Stewart - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Harry Wendelken - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	James Story - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW

Nicolas Mejia - Mats Rosenkranz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide