Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Nicolas Mejia		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
			Watch
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.19	1.72
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.16	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.87)	1.67 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
43.4%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nikoloz Basilashvili's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Nicolas Mejia - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Basilashvili (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 181. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 135.

Recent performances by Mejia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basilashvili is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.82%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Acapulco
22.02.26	Elias Ymer - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	Tomic B. retired ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Reda Bennani - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Taha Baadi - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 L?LWW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
14.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 L?LLL

Nicolas Mejia - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide