Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Daniil Medvedev		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.38	3.35
	1.34	3.27	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.33	3.48	Watch
	1.33	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)	3.36 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
71.6%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Medvedev's performance.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefanos Tsitsipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Medvedev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Tsitsipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Tsitsipas (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tsitsipas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 33.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 3.

Recent performances by Medvedev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tsitsipas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Medvedev could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.68%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
25.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
22.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Fabian Marozsan	3:2 ✺
20.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Quentin Halys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Moez Echargui - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
09.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Vienna
28.10.23	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0
ATP Roma
20.05.23	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.22	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP Australian Open
28.01.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	1:3
ATP Roland Garros
08.06.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev	3:0

Upcoming Matches