Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.93	1.38	Watch
	3.05	1.39
	2.88	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.89)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
33.3%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
66.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 71., and Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 128..

In recent outings, Diaz Acosta has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Basilashvili shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Basilashvili may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Basilashvili is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Basilashvili in today's match, at odds of 1.54.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Almaty
19.10.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Nuno Borges - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Max Alcala Gurri	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLL?
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Almaty
19.10.26	Marin Cilic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
18.10.26	Adam Walton - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
06.10.26	Liam Draxl - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWW?W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Vienna
27.10.26	Jurij Rodionov - Nikoloz Basilashvili	✺

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide