Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Norbert Gombos		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.79	1.46
	2.81	1.37	Watch
	2.64	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 (2.7)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norbert Gombos
34.6%

Hugo Grenier
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norbert Gombos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norbert Gombos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Norbert Gombos - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Gombos will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Grenier will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gombos: 70.7% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Gombos (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Gombos (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norbert Gombos will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Gombos (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gombos is ranked ATP: 319. Grenier is ranked ATP: 192.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Grenier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grenier could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gombos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Grenier - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.69%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norbert Gombos
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Norbert Gombos - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Norbert Gombos - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Norbert Gombos - Matteo Mura	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Norbert Gombos	Canceled ✺
16.09.25	Norbert Gombos - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWW?L
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Hugo Grenier - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Alexander Blockx - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
05.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Hugo Grenier - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
26.08.22	Norbert Gombos - Hugo Grenier	2:1
ATP Challenger
03.01.18	Hugo Grenier - Norbert Gombos	1:2

Norbert Gombos - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide