Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Nuno Borges		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	2.2	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.14	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.8
	2.06	1.76	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.14	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.85)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
44.9%

Alexei Popyrin
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuno Borges's form might have worsened.

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexei Popyrin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuno Borges, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	2.2%	23.9%

Nuno Borges - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 33 - 75%). Popyrin will win (votes: 11 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 62.2% – 87.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 12 - 60%). Popyrin (votes: 8 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 41. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Popyrin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borges won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexei Popyrin - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Casper Ruud - Nuno Borges	1:3 ✺
25.05.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Nuno Borges	2:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Nuno Borges - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Nuno Borges - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWL
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexei Popyrin	0:3 ✺
26.05.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexei Popyrin	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Alexei Popyrin - Nuno Borges	1:2
ITF Tournaments
19.10.17	Alexei Popyrin - Nuno Borges	2:1

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