Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Alexei Popyrin		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.86	2.04
	1.75	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.8	2.01	Watch
	1.8	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.66)	2.03 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
53.2%

Cameron Norrie
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Alexei Popyrin - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Norrie will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrie: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Popyrin (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cameron Norrie will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Norrie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Norrie is ranked ATP: 90.

Recent performances by Popyrin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Norrie is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Norrie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Geneva
21.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWL
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Geneva
21.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
19.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
22.06.21	Cameron Norrie - Alexei Popyrin	Canceled
ATP Atlanta
26.07.19	Cameron Norrie - Alexei Popyrin	2:0

Alexei Popyrin - Cameron Norrie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide