Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Germany	Discovery+(Ger)
Hungary	Max
Italy	Discovery+
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK


	Nuno Borges		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	17	1.03	Watch
	12	1.02
	13	1.03	Watch
	11.64	1.03	Watch
	12	1.03
	28	1.01	Watch
	13	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.23 ↑ (11.47)	1.03 ↓ (1.03)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
6.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
93.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.3%

91.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Nuno Borges - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 33. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

Borges is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcaraz Garfia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borges won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Nuno Borges	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.25	Nuno Borges - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
09.01.25	Jakub Mensik - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Mariano Navone - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
13.01.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.11.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.24	Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0 ✺
13.11.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Nuno Borges	2:0

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