Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE 2 (SPAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 February 2023, Friday


	Oleksii Krutykh		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2	1.8
	2.08	1.78
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.02	1.75	Watch
	2.04	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.2)	1.78 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksii Krutykh
47.2%

Matteo Arnaldi
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksii Krutykh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Oleksii Krutykh - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Krutykh will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Krutykh is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krutykh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksii Krutykh
ATP Challenger
02.02.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Oleksii Krutykh	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Oleksii Krutykh	3:1 ✺
11.01.23	Denis Kudla - Oleksii Krutykh	1:2 ✺
10.01.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 W?LWW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
02.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
25.01.23	Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.23	Max Purcell - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
10.01.23	Alex Bolt - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

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