Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: New Delhi, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Oliver Crawford		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.23	Watch
	3.96	1.22	Watch
	4	1.22
	3.74	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.98)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Crawford
24.3%

Rei Sakamoto
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Crawford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliver Crawford's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliver Crawford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oliver Crawford - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Crawford is ranked ATP: 215. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 168.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sakamoto is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Sakamoto will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Crawford
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Oliver Crawford - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Oliver Crawford - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Oliver Crawford - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Digvijay Pratap Singh - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Federico Cina - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Alastair Gray - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

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