Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Alexandre Muller		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.48	1.52	Watch
	2.46	1.62
	2.53	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.52	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.53)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
38.2%

Rafael Jodar
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Alexandre Muller - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Jodar (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rafael Jodar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 94. Jodar is ranked ATP: 89.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jodar could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Marrakech
02.04.26	Vit Kopriva - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Federico Cina - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Jakub Paul - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Marrakech
02.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLW?

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