Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 6 March 2026, Friday
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Nicolai Budkov Kjaer |
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Jan Choinski |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
65% | Jan Choinski
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's performance.Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolai Budkov Kjaer that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jan Choinski Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 50%). Choinski (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 Sets - Choinski (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Choinski (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 150. Choinski is ranked ATP: 122.Budkov Kjaer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Choinski has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Budkov Kjaer will hold a modest advantage in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Last Results with these Odds
Jan Choinski - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.31%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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