Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.9
	1.28	3.75
	1.26	3.6
	1.25	4.35
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.08	7.9	Watch
	1.12	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)	4.63 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
79.1%

Fabio Fognini
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fabio Fognini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fabio Fognini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 3.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Gijon
14.10.22	Arthur Rinderknech - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
12.10.22	Thiago Monteiro - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
29.09.22	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Karen Khachanov	2:3 ✺
02.09.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex De Minaur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Napoli
20.10.22	Hugo Grenier - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
ATP Gijon
11.10.22	Manuel Guinard - Fabio Fognini	Fognini F. retired ✺
ATP Sofia
27.09.22	Aleksandar Vukic - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
26.09.22	Stanislas Wawrinka - Fabio Fognini	Canceled
ATP US Open
01.09.22	Fabio Fognini - Rafael Nadal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 W?L?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Fabio Fognini	1:2
ATP Cup
05.02.21	Fabio Fognini - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1
ATP Hamburg
26.07.19	Fabio Fognini - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2
ATP Australian Open
18.01.19	Fabio Fognini - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:3
ATP Monte Carlo
17.04.17	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Fabio Fognini	2:1
ATP Sao Paulo
03.03.17	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Fabio Fognini	2:0
ATP Paris
31.10.16	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Fabio Fognini	2:0

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