Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.71	2.14
	1.64	2.17
	1.69	2.3
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.24	Watch
	1.7	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)	2.18 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
56.3%

Tommy Paul
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66%	0%	34%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 35 - 66%). Paul will win (votes: 18 - 34%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 53.2% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paul is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Paris
02.11.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
28.10.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
26.10.22	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Paris
02.11.22	Tommy Paul - Rafael Nadal	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
25.10.22	Dominic Thiem - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
ATP Stockholm
20.10.22	Mikael Ymer - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
18.10.22	Leo Borg - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLLW

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