Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Tallon Griekspoor		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.40	1.55
	2.5	1.51	Watch
	2.56	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.53
	2.65	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.63)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallon Griekspoor
37.3%

Andrey Rublev
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallon Griekspoor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tallon Griekspoor - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Griekspoor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Rublev will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 55., and Rublev is ranked ATP: 24..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Rublev may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rublev holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Griekspoor has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.46%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Ben Shelton - Tallon Griekspoor	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Tallon Griekspoor	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 L?WL?
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Hangzhou
29.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Hugo Gaston - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrey Rublev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
27.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0
ATP Halle
23.06.23	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1
ATP Doha
22.02.23	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1

Tallon Griekspoor - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide