Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	1.87	1.99
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	1.94 ↓ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
51.6%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: Pedro Martinez Portero will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
17.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
16.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
14.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Guillermo Garcia-Lopez	2:0 ✺
12.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Marco Trungelliti	Trungelliti M. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
02.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sebastian Korda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWW?L
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Challenger
17.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mario Vilella Martinez	2:1 ✺
16.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
15.10.20	Daniel Elahi Galan - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
13.10.20	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
11.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.09.19	Pedro Martinez Portero - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
10.04.19	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0

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