Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Qinwen Zheng		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.52	2.91
	1.45	2.77	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.46	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	2.79 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qinwen Zheng
65.6%

Jelena Ostapenko
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qinwen Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Qinwen Zheng - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Qinwen Zheng will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Qinwen Zheng will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zheng is ranked WTA: 32. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 36.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zheng might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zheng won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Qinwen Zheng - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.53%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Roma
07.05.26	Cristina Bucsa - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Anna Bondar - Qinwen Zheng	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Qinwen Zheng - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWL
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Roma
07.05.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Amanda Anisimova	Canceled ✺
06.05.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Simona Waltert - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Mirra Andreeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Zhuhai
27.10.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Qinwen Zheng	1:2
WTA Abu Dhabi
08.02.23	Qinwen Zheng - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA US Open
30.08.22	Qinwen Zheng - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1

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