Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Qinwen Zheng		Madison Keys

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.71	Watch
	2.17	1.78
	2.12	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.16	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.34)	1.74 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qinwen Zheng
44.9%

Madison Keys
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qinwen Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Qinwen Zheng - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Zheng will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Keys will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zheng: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zheng is ranked WTA: 26. Keys is ranked WTA: 18.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Keys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Keys will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zheng won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Madison Keys - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 59.29%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Miami
21.03.26	Qinwen Zheng - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Antonia Ruzic - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Peyton Stearns - Qinwen Zheng	Canceled ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.26	Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Alycia Parks - Qinwen Zheng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WL?LW
- Madison Keys
WTA Miami
21.03.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.26	Madison Keys - Sonay Kartal	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Madison Keys - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
25.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Karolina Pliskova - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Washington
01.08.23	Qinwen Zheng - Madison Keys	0:2

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