Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.13	6	Watch
			Watch
	1.14	5.4	Watch
	1.16	5.97
	1.14	5.82	Watch
	1.14	5.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.11)	5.76 ↓ (5.89)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
83.4%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 20. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 43.

Davidovich Fokina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ugo Carabelli is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Davidovich Fokina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Davidovich Fokina is the obvious favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
01.08.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LW??W
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Rinky Hijikata - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Ben Shelton - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
08.08.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LL?W?

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