Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Raphael Collignon		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83	Watch
	2.01	1.81	Watch
	2.06	1.83
	2	1.77	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.05	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.03)	1.81 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
47.4%

Flavio Cobolli
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Raphael Collignon - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Cobolli will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobolli: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Collignon (votes: 1 - 50%). Cobolli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 72. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 14.

Collignon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cobolli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Collignon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.99%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Flavio Cobolli - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Yibing Wu - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW

Raphael Collignon - Flavio Cobolli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide