Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Mattia Bellucci		Raphael Collignon

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.25	1.71
	2.13	1.65	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.14	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.61)	1.66 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
43.6%

Raphael Collignon
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raphael Collignon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raphael Collignon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Collignon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Collignon (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mattia Bellucci will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Collignon (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94. Collignon is ranked ATP: 77.

Bellucci has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Collignon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Collignon could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Collignon will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.44%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLLW
- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Raphael Collignon - Mattia Bellucci	0:2

Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide