Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Grigor Dimitrov		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.71	Watch
	2.27	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.68	Watch
	2.25	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.95)	1.68 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
43.3%

Tomas Machac
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grigor Dimitrov's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.9%	0%	73.1%

Grigor Dimitrov - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Machac will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 39.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Machac (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tomas Machac will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Machac (votes: 15 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 47. Machac is ranked ATP: 35.

Machac is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dimitrov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Machac will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dimitrov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Brisbane
08.01.26	Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
27.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LW?W?
- Tomas Machac
ATP Adelaide
16.01.26	Ugo Humbert - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Tomas Machac - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Tomas Machac - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Tomas Machac - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Tomas Machac - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
24.10.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Tomas Machac	1:2

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