Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Raphael Collignon		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.83	1.95	Watch
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.88	2.04
	1.7	2.2	Watch
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.83	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.6)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
52.9%

Mattia Bellucci
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raphael Collignon's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.3%	0%	56.7%

Raphael Collignon - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Bellucci will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 39% – 74.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mattia Bellucci will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 51. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 74.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Collignon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Collignon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.56%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Alexei Popyrin - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Raphael Collignon	3:2 ✺
28.05.26	Raphael Collignon - Ben Shelton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Raphael Collignon - Mattia Bellucci	0:2

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