Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Reilly Opelka		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.84	1.92	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	2.02	1.82	Watch
	1.85	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.08)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
48.7%

Alexei Popyrin
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	0%	84.4%

Reilly Opelka - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 7 - 35%). Popyrin (votes: 13 - 65%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexei Popyrin will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 60. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 50.

Opelka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Opelka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Brisbane
07.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Joao Fonseca	Canceled ✺
ATP Athens
03.11.25	Reilly Opelka - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Reilly Opelka - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LW?L?
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Athens
02.11.25	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
13.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
21.06.21	Reilly Opelka - Alexei Popyrin	Canceled
ATP Miami
26.03.21	Alexei Popyrin - Reilly Opelka	2:0

Reilly Opelka - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide