Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday


	Reilly Opelka		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.76	2.03	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.06	Watch
	1.76	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.73)	2.03 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
53.2%

Nicolas Jarry
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	0%	27.8%

Reilly Opelka - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 Games - Opelka (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reilly Opelka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 87. Jarry is ranked ATP: 150.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Jarry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Mariano Navone	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Rinky Hijikata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.25	Nicolas Jarry - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Nicolas Jarry - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Nicolas Jarry - Arthur Fils	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL

Reilly Opelka - Nicolas Jarry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide