Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Nicolas Jarry		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.36	Watch
	1.56	2.39	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.53)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
60.1%

Luciano Darderi
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Nicolas Jarry - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Darderi will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Jarry will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 149. Darderi is ranked ATP: 45.

Jarry has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Darderi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Nicolas Jarry - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Nicolas Jarry - Arthur Fils	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Korda	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
22.05.25	Andrey Rublev - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL

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