Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Rio Noguchi		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
			Watch
	2.80	1.40
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.64	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.41
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.74)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
34.5%

Alexandre Muller
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rio Noguchi - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 216., and Muller is ranked ATP: 132..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Noguchi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Muller is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.9%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Masamichi Imamura - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Colin Sinclair - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Federico Cina - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Moise Kouame - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWW

Rio Noguchi - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide