Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
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Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
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North-macedonia	HBO Max
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Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Juncheng Shang		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.5	Watch
	1.30	3.52	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.29	3.65	Watch
	1.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	3.53 ↑ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
73.1%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juncheng Shang's performance.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Juncheng Shang - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shang (votes: 1 - 50%). Bautista-Agut (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 36.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juncheng Shang will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 406. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 90.

Recent performances by Shang have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shang is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Juncheng Shang - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.21%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Hong Kong
09.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 L???L

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