Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	22:40	ESPN
Belgium	02:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:40	HBO Max
Brazil	22:40	ESPN
Bulgaria	03:40	HBO Max
Canada	20:40	RDS App
Colombia	20:40	ESPN
Croatia	02:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	02:40	HBO Max
Denmark	02:40	HBO Max
Finland	03:40	HBO Max
France	02:40	HBO Max
Hungary	02:40	HBO Max
Mexico	19:40	ESPN
Moldova	03:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	02:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	02:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	02:40	HBO Max
Norway	02:40	HBO Max
Peru	20:40	ESPN
Poland	02:40	HBO Max
Romania	03:40	HBO Max
Serbia	02:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	02:40	HBO Max
Spain	02:40	HBO Max
Sweden	02:40	HBO Max
United Kingdom	01:40	Discovery+
Usa	20:40	ESPN USA
Venezuela	21:40	ESPN


	Juncheng Shang		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.5	Watch
	1.30	3.52	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.29	3.65	Watch
	1.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	3.53 ↑ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
73.1%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juncheng Shang's performance.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Juncheng Shang - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shang (votes: 1 - 50%). Bautista-Agut (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 36.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juncheng Shang will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 406. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 90.

Recent performances by Shang have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shang is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Juncheng Shang - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.21%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Hong Kong
09.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 L???L

Juncheng Shang - Roberto Bautista-Agut