Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brussels, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brussels 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Sebastian Baez

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Roberto Bautista-Agut
61.9%

Sebastian Baez
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Bautista-Agut's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Baez's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 56. Baez is ranked ATP: 42.

Baez is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bautista-Agut is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Ben Shelton - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LL?LW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWL?L

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sebastian Baez