Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.51	Watch
	2.82	1.52
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.67	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.31)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
36.3%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	0%	52.9%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Tirante will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 93. Tirante is ranked ATP: 75.

Recent performances by Bautista-Agut have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tirante is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tirante will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Tirante will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini	Bautista-Agut R. Retired ✺
05.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LWLL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Houston
04.04.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Ben Shelton - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Colton Smith - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWW?

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide