Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finalsDate: 7 May 2026, Thursday
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Roberto Bautista-Agut |
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Francesco Maestrelli |
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- The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by
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Roberto Bautista-Agut
59.4% | Francesco Maestrelli
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+3.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 32% – 80.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 98. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 112.Recent performances by Bautista-Agut have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Maestrelli has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Bautista-Agut could have a small edge in this match. The players have not played against each other recently.
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Last Results with these Odds
Roberto Bautista-Agut - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.59%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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