Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.69	2.42
	1.55	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.63	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
59.4%

Francesco Maestrelli
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	0%	56.2%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 98. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 112.

Recent performances by Bautista-Agut have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maestrelli has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bautista-Agut could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Roberto Bautista-Agut - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.59%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini	Bautista-Agut R. Retired ✺
05.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWL?L
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide