Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.29	1.68
	2.33	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.63	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.34)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
39.4%

Brandon Nakashima
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Burruchaga will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Nakashima will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 77. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.

Burruchaga has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nakashima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Burruchaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nakashima might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Burruchaga will win today's game, with odds of 2.36.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Jaime Faria - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Gustavo Heide - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Houston
31.03.26	Martin Damm - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

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