Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Martin Damm		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.44	1.35
	3.25	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.03)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
27.5%

Brandon Nakashima
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Martin Damm - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Nakashima will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 133. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 30.

Recent form of Damm has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nakashima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nakashima is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 69.18%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Martin Damm - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Martin Damm - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Martin Damm - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 L?LLL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW

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