Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Roman Safiullin		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	2.8	1.4
	2.98	1.44
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.91	1.41	Watch
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
33%

Alexander Zverev
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	0%	48%

Roman Safiullin - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Zverev will win (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Safiullin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zverev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Safiullin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zverev is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Zverev to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Roman Safiullin - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
26.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
25.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Jordan Thompson - Roman Safiullin	Thompson J. retired ✺
22.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLW?W
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Beijing
03.10.23	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Alexander Zverev - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
29.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
26.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Chengdu
26.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Roman Safiullin	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.21	Alexander Zverev - Roman Safiullin	3:0

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