Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Thionville 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Roman Safiullin		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	2.06	1.83
	2.09	1.68	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.05)	1.78 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
47.6%

Timofey Skatov
52.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Roman Safiullin - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Skatov will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Skatov: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Skatov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Safiullin (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Skatov (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 189. Skatov is ranked ATP: 192.

Skatov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Safiullin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Timofey Skatov - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.96%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
26.08.25	Gael Monfils - Roman Safiullin	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
25.02.26	Matej Dodig - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Tom Gentzsch - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Timofey Skatov - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Timofey Skatov - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Arthur Bouquier - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

Roman Safiullin - Timofey Skatov