Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Sara Bejlek		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.40	1.30
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.49	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.35
	3.3	1.34	Watch
	3.7	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.09)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Bejlek
27.5%

Naomi Osaka
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Bejlek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Sara Bejlek - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bejlek will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bejlek is ranked WTA: 29., and Osaka is ranked WTA: 17..

Bejlek has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Osaka is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Osaka is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Bejlek
WTA Beijing
02.10.26	Sara Bejlek - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
17.09.26	Cristina Bucsa - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Alycia Parks - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Cristina Bucsa	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
22.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Beijing
02.10.26	Maria Timofeeva - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
07.09.26	Naomi Osaka - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Naomi Osaka - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Naomi Osaka - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

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