Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brussels, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brussels 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:


	Valentin Royer		Sebastian Baez

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Valentin Royer
71%

Sebastian Baez
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-1%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Baez (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Royer is ranked ATP: 70. Baez is ranked ATP: 44.

Recent performances by Royer have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baez has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Royer is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Brussels
13.10.25	Valentin Royer - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Valentin Royer - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Alexander Zverev - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Valentin Royer - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Valentin Royer - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 ?LWL?

Valentin Royer - Sebastian Baez