Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sebastian Baez		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.65	2.41
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.36	Watch
	1.63	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.63)	2.38 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
59.8%

Francisco Cerundolo
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	0%	25.8%

Sebastian Baez - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 58.8% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Baez will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Baez won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.24	Thiago Monteiro - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
22.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Corentin Moutet - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
16.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
21.02.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
07.02.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
17.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	2:0
ATP Challenger
20.11.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	1:2
21.02.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	1:2

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