Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Sebastian Baez		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
			Watch
	4.8	1.19
	4.91	1.21
	4.25	1.20	Watch
	4.8	1.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.47)	1.19 ↓ (1.22)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
20.1%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

78.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rune (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 41. Rune is ranked ATP: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baez won 3.

Recent form of Baez has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rune's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rune may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rune is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Baez won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 78.61%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WL?LL
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Tokyo
28.09.25	Jenson Brooksby - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ethan Quinn - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Jaume Munar - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
16.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:1
ATP Roma
13.05.24	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1
ATP Basel
26.10.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:0
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.22	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0
ATP Challenger
15.03.21	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ATP Santiago
09.03.21	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:0

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