Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Sebastian Korda		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.41	2.95	Watch
	1.45	3.26
	1.39	2.86	Watch
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.5	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	2.93 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is -0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
67.2%

Zizou Bergs
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sebastian Korda - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bergs will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Korda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bergs (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korda is ranked ATP: 74. Bergs is ranked ATP: 45.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bergs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Korda is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Tokyo
27.09.25	Sebastian Korda - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Marcos Giron - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Yibing Wu - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Adam Walton - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Tokyo
27.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLW

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